The reporter learned that compared to the phenomenon of frequent buying last year, “desolation†has become the key word for the grain market this year. The acquisition market of Northeast China's japonica rice, corn and soybeans has presented a stalemate of “peasants reluctant to sell and enterprises wait and seeâ€, while the end market is not selling. The boom and price slump have further constrained the enthusiasm of the company’s acquisition and production processes.
Jiaoshan Wei, editor in chief of the China Grain Information Network, told the Economic Information Daily that on the one hand, the country's macroeconomic regulation and control efforts were relatively large this year. On the other hand, the price of Northeast China's japonica rice has risen slightly since the acquisition last year. Some companies that have actively received grain last year suffered losses. This makes the company more cautious in the acquisition of Japonica this year, resulting in a light buying market.
The corn buying and selling market is also stuck in a stalemate in which grain farmers do not want to sell, processing companies do not dare to store, and trading companies dare not to accept. The acquisition volume has shrunk dramatically. Since the listing of the new grain, the purchase price of corn was first high and then low. Since mid-November, the price of corn fell back to about 1.00 yuan/kg. For this price, farmers do not recognize that there is a reluctant seller; processing companies are worried that prices will continue to fall further, and they will adopt a side-by-side processing strategy to keep inventory low; trading companies feel that the price difference between the north and the south is not large and they are not profitable. Enter the market.
Wang Xiaoyu, deputy secretary-general of the Heilongjiang Soybean Association, said that in the soybean purchase market, as of mid-December, soybeans sold by farmers had been sold at about 30%. The acquisition volume of processing companies is very small, and only some companies “leap the reserves of the State,†and they are generally out-of-grade soybeans to guarantee the start of 10 days. At present, the soybean processing situation is still not optimistic. The number of companies that have stopped production has exceeded 80%, and the industry will face reshuffle in the future.
The end-consumer market is not "prosperous in the peak season", which restricts the enthusiasm of the processing enterprises for acquisition. Jiao Shanwei said that due to the poor demand in the south and difficulties in the northeast rice transport, the operating rate of northeastern rice processing enterprises in the second half of the year was relatively low, and some enterprises entered the maintenance period in advance. The characteristic of “not busy season†is very obvious this year. Some processing companies have even backlogged rice that was processed last year and they are not selling at a good price.
"This year's sales are not good, and the situation is somewhat abnormal." Ning Xingshi, head of Liaocheng Grain Valley Processing Plant in Liaoning Province, told the reporter of the "Economic Information Daily" that although it is at the end of the consumer season, the sales volume of rice and flour is lower than in previous years. Declined by 30%. At the same time, the plant’s grain purchases have also been reduced by about half compared to the same period of previous years.
From the perspective of terminal sales prices, the data released by the Ministry of Commerce shows that as of the week of December 12-18, the retail price of grain fell for three consecutive weeks. The domestic retail price of small-package flour fell by 0.2% from the previous week. Small packaged rice Retail prices are basically flat.
Recently, the country has announced the temporary purchase and storage policies for soybeans and corn.
A number of corn market analysts believe that the market has been expected to increase the country's purchase and storage prices, but the future impact of the State Reserve Policy on corn prices still depends on the amount of acquisition. In addition, peasants are willing to pay back the loan and ensure that money is spent on holidays. It is bound to sell a portion of corn. In order to ensure inventory during the Spring Festival, the company may also increase the purchase volume.
Jiaoshan Wei, editor in chief of the China Grain Information Network, told the Economic Information Daily that on the one hand, the country's macroeconomic regulation and control efforts were relatively large this year. On the other hand, the price of Northeast China's japonica rice has risen slightly since the acquisition last year. Some companies that have actively received grain last year suffered losses. This makes the company more cautious in the acquisition of Japonica this year, resulting in a light buying market.
The corn buying and selling market is also stuck in a stalemate in which grain farmers do not want to sell, processing companies do not dare to store, and trading companies dare not to accept. The acquisition volume has shrunk dramatically. Since the listing of the new grain, the purchase price of corn was first high and then low. Since mid-November, the price of corn fell back to about 1.00 yuan/kg. For this price, farmers do not recognize that there is a reluctant seller; processing companies are worried that prices will continue to fall further, and they will adopt a side-by-side processing strategy to keep inventory low; trading companies feel that the price difference between the north and the south is not large and they are not profitable. Enter the market.
Wang Xiaoyu, deputy secretary-general of the Heilongjiang Soybean Association, said that in the soybean purchase market, as of mid-December, soybeans sold by farmers had been sold at about 30%. The acquisition volume of processing companies is very small, and only some companies “leap the reserves of the State,†and they are generally out-of-grade soybeans to guarantee the start of 10 days. At present, the soybean processing situation is still not optimistic. The number of companies that have stopped production has exceeded 80%, and the industry will face reshuffle in the future.
The end-consumer market is not "prosperous in the peak season", which restricts the enthusiasm of the processing enterprises for acquisition. Jiao Shanwei said that due to the poor demand in the south and difficulties in the northeast rice transport, the operating rate of northeastern rice processing enterprises in the second half of the year was relatively low, and some enterprises entered the maintenance period in advance. The characteristic of “not busy season†is very obvious this year. Some processing companies have even backlogged rice that was processed last year and they are not selling at a good price.
"This year's sales are not good, and the situation is somewhat abnormal." Ning Xingshi, head of Liaocheng Grain Valley Processing Plant in Liaoning Province, told the reporter of the "Economic Information Daily" that although it is at the end of the consumer season, the sales volume of rice and flour is lower than in previous years. Declined by 30%. At the same time, the plant’s grain purchases have also been reduced by about half compared to the same period of previous years.
From the perspective of terminal sales prices, the data released by the Ministry of Commerce shows that as of the week of December 12-18, the retail price of grain fell for three consecutive weeks. The domestic retail price of small-package flour fell by 0.2% from the previous week. Small packaged rice Retail prices are basically flat.
Recently, the country has announced the temporary purchase and storage policies for soybeans and corn.
A number of corn market analysts believe that the market has been expected to increase the country's purchase and storage prices, but the future impact of the State Reserve Policy on corn prices still depends on the amount of acquisition. In addition, peasants are willing to pay back the loan and ensure that money is spent on holidays. It is bound to sell a portion of corn. In order to ensure inventory during the Spring Festival, the company may also increase the purchase volume.
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